An expansive explosive radius equals higher ‘kill probability’ (Part I ) - commentaires An expansive explosive radius equals higher ‘kill probability' (Part I ) 2010-04-02T15:37:12Z https://www.thenewfederalist.eu/An-expansive-explosive-radius-equals-higher-kill-probability-Part-I#comment8209 2010-04-02T15:37:12Z <p>Not any weapons system is an 'explosive' type system, this was my basic assumption. The more explosive it gets, doesn't correlate positively with accuracy.</p> <p>You're right in pointing out the strange comparison I'm making between UAV's and cluster munitions. Their designs are in fact, entirely opposite to one another : Cluster munitions aim at a maximum spread of the blast, while UAV's tend to drop a smaller payload on a precision scale. I am not targeting all UAV's by default, because many are just used for reconnaisance and IMINT. I don't have all statistict to claim that most UAV's still lack precision for their range. A soldier (hopefully) identifies a target first befire firing. Because there's no way to correct the error. For UAV intelligence, the root cause lies with assesment and timely intervention. The 2 or 3 UAV specialist flyers follow orders and can't 'second guess' while being given orders, but the intelligence people steer the way the targets are selected and qualified. UAV's are not designed to adjust to the human error (and I guess there's no technical armaments system that can). That makes them not 'more' smart than cluster munitions. It may seem a really redundant remark, but many readers don't think the payload UAV concept through.</p> <p>With regards to F16 missile guidance... The pilots of these planes have a learning curve to master and get their skills right during difficult exercises. UAV's are relatively new, so errors are theoretically more common. The key is situational awareness, and without having knowledge on the ground, it's hard to be sure that your target isn't an innocent civilian.</p> An expansive explosive radius equals higher ‘kill probability' (Part I ) 2010-03-30T17:06:39Z https://www.thenewfederalist.eu/An-expansive-explosive-radius-equals-higher-kill-probability-Part-I#comment8197 2010-03-30T17:06:39Z <p>« In reality, the business of war has been trying to advance the application of explosives into something like perfecting a recipe to kill with more ‘surgical finesse » Well isn't that exactly the purpose of developing most military weapons ? And if this weren't the case, why would we be wasting all this money on military research ?</p> <p>« Although they are said to be outfitted with improved target guidance systems (in the case of UAV's even piloted) they are likely not able to make a last-second verification to distinguish between unarmed civilians and Taliban. » Why would the operator of a UAV, sitting safely in an operating container in Nevada, be less « likely to make a last-second verification » in comparison to a, lets say, F16 pilot who has been on patrol over hostile territory for several hours ? After all, the instruments used in an F16 can also be used in an UAV. In fact with the F16 being a relatively old vehicle, despite the fact that it has been modernized several times, the instruments in these high tech UAV's are less outdated then their F16 counterparts.</p> <p>Despite all this I still completely fail to see the connection between cluster munitions and UAV's.</p>